Alibaba (ADR) stock analysis
Alibaba (ADR) passes 3 of 8 fundamental tests, a score of 4/10. On the daily chart it is in an downtrend, RSI 46, 40% below its 52-week high: downtrend rally into the 20-day average. Its own volatility puts the likely range at $97.08–$122.64 a month from now and $72.78–$163.57 in a year (68% bands). The last two days of news lean bullish (1 positive, 0 negative stories).
Fundamentals 4/10
- Market cap
- $271.4 B
- P/E · forward
- 26.4 · 11.8
- PEG · P/B
- 0.5 · 1.6
- ROE · net margin
- +6% · +7%
- Revenue · earnings growth
- +9% · -79%
- Debt / equity
- 24%
- Dividend · beta
- 1.0% · 0.5
- Next results
- 24 Nov 2026
- ✕ ROE above 15%
- ✕ Net margin above 10%
- ✕ Revenue growing over 10%
- ✕ Earnings growing
- ✓ Debt/equity under 100%
- ✕ Positive free cash flow
- ✓ Forward P/E under trailing (earnings expected up)
- ✓ PEG under 2
Swing technicals (daily)
- Trend
- down · 50d below 200d
- RSI(14)
- 46
- 20 / 50 / 200-day avg
- $109.89 / $114.67 / $128.95
- 20-day breakout
- above $120.40 · below $104.75
- ATR(14)
- $3.17 (2.9% a day)
- 52-week range
- $91.99 – $182.50
- Return 3m · 6m · 1y
- -9% · -23% · -35%
What the price could do
| In | Likely range (68%) |
|---|---|
| 1 mo | $97.08 – $122.64 (-11% / +12%) |
| 3 mo | $89.12 – $133.59 (-18% / +22%) |
| 6 mo | $81.95 – $145.28 (-25% / +33%) |
| 1 year | $72.78 – $163.57 (-33% / +50%) |
Analysts (40): strong buy, mean target $186.62 (+71%)
From its own volatility (40% a year), no drift assumed: what its swings allow, not a forecast.
Alibaba (ADR) news · last two days
News lean: Bullish · 1 up · 0 down- 37h agoAlibaba Claims Top Spot in US Trading Volume Amid 1.82% Declineainvest
- 3d agoAlibaba: Enough Fuel To Power The Trillion-RMB Cloud MachineSeeking Alpha
- 3d agoExtended Trading Hours for Popular U.S. Stock Options Launch Next Week; Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing and Alibaba Includedfinance.biggo
- 5d agoAnalysts Have Conflicting Sentiments on These Consumer Cyclical Companies: Alibaba (BABA) and Tesla (TSLA)The Globe and Mail
- 5d agoAlibaba Group Holding Limited - ADRFX Empire
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Information and analytics for education only, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Alephix Intelligence is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser or research analyst. Prices may be delayed; figures come from public market data.