DLTR · US · Consumer Defensive

Dollar Tree stock analysis

$124.18+8.5% 1 month

Dollar Tree passes 4 of 8 fundamental tests, a score of 5/10. On the daily chart it is in an uptrend, RSI 62, 13% below its 52-week high: uptrend, no fresh entry: wait for a pullback or breakout. Its own volatility puts the likely range at $110.45–$139.62 a month from now and $82.75–$186.35 in a year (68% bands).

Fundamentals 5/10

Market cap
$23.3 B
P/E · forward
15.1 · 15.7
PEG · P/B
1.3 · 6.8
ROE · net margin
+46% · +8%
Revenue · earnings growth
+7% · +197%
Debt / equity
224%
Dividend · beta
0.0% · 0.7
Next results
27 Aug 2026
  • ✓ ROE above 15%
  • ✕ Net margin above 10%
  • ✕ Revenue growing over 10%
  • ✓ Earnings growing
  • ✕ Debt/equity under 100%
  • ✓ Positive free cash flow
  • ✕ Forward P/E under trailing (earnings expected up)
  • ✓ PEG under 2

Swing technicals (daily)

Uptrend, no fresh entry: wait for a pullback or breakout
Trend
up · 50d above 200d
RSI(14)
62
20 / 50 / 200-day avg
$116.26 / $122.28 / $116.97
20-day breakout
above $127.00 · below $111.12
ATR(14)
$3.81 (3.1% a day)
52-week range
$85.88 – $142.40
Return 3m · 6m · 1y
-2% · +17% · +29%

What the price could do

InLikely range (68%)
1 mo$110.45 – $139.62 (-11% / +12%)
3 mo$101.37 – $152.12 (-18% / +23%)
6 mo$93.20 – $165.46 (-25% / +33%)
1 year$82.75 – $186.35 (-33% / +50%)

Analysts (26): hold, mean target $135.38 (+9%)

From its own volatility (41% a year), no drift assumed: what its swings allow, not a forecast.

Dollar Tree news · last two days

News lean: Neutral
  1. 13h agoBeloved grocer ‘cheaper than Dollar Tree’ continues opening spree with 125,000-square-foot store slated for October 28The US Sun
  2. 14h ago13 Cookies You Should Be Picking Up At Dollar TreeYahoo
  3. 30h agoThe $1.25 Dollar Tree find fans love so much they buy 5 at a timeAllrecipes on MSN
  4. 32h agoDollar General: Internal Turnaround Meets Macro TailwindsSeeking Alpha
  5. 2d agoDollar Tree Inc. stock outperforms competitors on strong trading dayMarketWatch
  6. 2d agoDollar Tree stock trades within EUR 109.04 to EUR 112.52 todayAd Hoc News
  7. 3d agoGladbrook’s Family Dollar shutters in wake of private equity takeoverSun Courier
  8. 3d agoDollar Tree Gems: 7 Little Luxuries Under $20 To Grab Before Fall EndsAOL
  9. 3d agoDollar Tree Rises After Q2 Beat and Higher Full-Year EPS Outlookquiverquant
  10. 3d agoEven high-income shoppers are turning to Dollar Tree for dupes. Are you too, in the face of economic uncertainty?Moneywise
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Information and analytics for education only, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Alephix Intelligence is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser or research analyst. Prices may be delayed; figures come from public market data.