Progressive stock analysis
Progressive passes 3 of 7 fundamental tests, a score of 4/10. On the daily chart it is in an uptrend, RSI 55, 9% below its 52-week high: uptrend, no fresh entry: wait for a pullback or breakout. Its own volatility puts the likely range at $201.80–$236.56 a month from now and $165.91–$287.73 in a year (68% bands).
Fundamentals 4/10
- Market cap
- $126.8 B
- P/E · forward
- 11.0 · 13.5
- PEG · P/B
- 66.7 · 3.7
- ROE · net margin
- +33% · +13%
- Revenue · earnings growth
- +3% · -2%
- Debt / equity
- 24%
- Dividend · beta
- 0.2% · 0.2
- Next results
- 14 Oct 2026
- ✓ ROE above 15%
- ✓ Net margin above 10%
- ✕ Revenue growing over 10%
- ✕ Earnings growing
- ✓ Debt/equity under 100%
- ✕ Forward P/E under trailing (earnings expected up)
- ✕ PEG under 2
Swing technicals (daily)
- Trend
- up · 50d above 200d
- RSI(14)
- 55
- 20 / 50 / 200-day avg
- $212.12 / $214.77 / $208.61
- 20-day breakout
- above $223.78 · below $200.96
- ATR(14)
- $5.68 (2.6% a day)
- 52-week range
- $189.20 – $239.38
- Return 3m · 6m · 1y
- +3% · +8% · -3%
What the price could do
| In | Likely range (68%) |
|---|---|
| 1 mo | $201.80 – $236.56 (-8% / +8%) |
| 3 mo | $190.40 – $250.73 (-13% / +15%) |
| 6 mo | $179.85 – $265.44 (-18% / +21%) |
| 1 year | $165.91 – $287.73 (-24% / +32%) |
Analysts (21): hold, mean target $230.38 (+5%)
From its own volatility (28% a year), no drift assumed: what its swings allow, not a forecast.
Progressive news · last two days
News lean: Neutral- 40h ago[For Stock Beginners] What is Ricoh Leasing (becoming "Ritores" in December)? A beginner's guide to a progressive dividend stock growing through vendor leasingnote
- 2d agoProgressive Stock Has Turned $10,000 Into More Than $90,000 in 10 YearsMotley Fool
- 2d agoKeefe Bruyette & Woods Adjusts Progressive Price Target to $246 From $252MT Newswires
- 2d agoGoldman Sachs Adjusts Progressive Price Target to $233 From $235MT Newswires
- 2d agoProgressive: A Great Insurer, But Slowing Growth Justifies A 'Hold'Seeking Alpha
- 2d agoBMO Capital Adjusts Price Target on PGR to $216 From $221MT Newswires
- 3d agoProgressive (PGR) Is Up 5.1% After Q3 EPS Beat And Stronger Underwriting Results - What's ChangedSimply Wall St.
- 3d agoEvercore ISI Adjusts Progressive Price Target to $227 From $230MT Newswires
- 3d agoProgressive's Q3 Earnings Top Estimates on Higher PremiumsZacks
- 3d agoProgressive (NYSE:PGR) Misses Q3 2026 Revenue Estimates, Stock DropsStockStory
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Information and analytics for education only, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Alephix Intelligence is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser or research analyst. Prices may be delayed; figures come from public market data.