SMCI · US · Technology

Super Micro Computer stock analysis

$31.63-21.6% 1 month

Super Micro Computer passes 6 of 8 fundamental tests, a score of 8/10. On the daily chart it is in a sideways range, RSI 30, 44% below its 52-week high: breakdown below the 20-day low. Its own volatility puts the likely range at $24.03–$41.64 a month from now and $12.20–$82.00 in a year (68% bands).

Fundamentals 8/10

Market cap
$20.8 B
P/E · forward
9.7 · 5.9
PEG · P/B
0.9 · 2.0
ROE · net margin
+21% · +6%
Revenue · earnings growth
+93% · +435%
Debt / equity
64%
Dividend · beta
0.0% · 2.0
Next results
3 Nov 2026
  • ✓ ROE above 15%
  • ✕ Net margin above 10%
  • ✓ Revenue growing over 10%
  • ✓ Earnings growing
  • ✓ Debt/equity under 100%
  • ✕ Positive free cash flow
  • ✓ Forward P/E under trailing (earnings expected up)
  • ✓ PEG under 2

Swing technicals (daily)

Breakdown below the 20-day low
Trend
sideways · 50d above 200d
RSI(14)
30
20 / 50 / 200-day avg
$40.81 / $38.67 / $32.47
20-day breakout
above $45.77 · below $32.38
ATR(14)
$2.55 (8.1% a day)
52-week range
$19.48 – $56.60
Return 3m · 6m · 1y
+33% · +11% · -39%

What the price could do

InLikely range (68%)
1 mo$24.03 – $41.64 (-24% / +32%)
3 mo$19.64 – $50.93 (-38% / +61%)
6 mo$16.13 – $62.03 (-49% / +96%)
1 year$12.20 – $82.00 (-61% / +159%)

Analysts (15): hold, mean target $42.27 (+34%)

From its own volatility (95% a year), no drift assumed: what its swings allow, not a forecast.

Super Micro Computer news · last two days

News lean: Neutral
  1. 17h agoWas The Run In Super Micro Stock Hiding In Plain Sight?Trefis
  2. 23h agoSuper Micro Named a New CFO After Burning Nearly $7 Billion in Free Cash Flow. Here’s Where the Stock Could Go by 2031TIKR
  3. 27h agoRosenblatt Sees 45% Upside in Super Micro StockGuruFocus.com
  4. 27h agoNVIDIA and Taiwan’s New Chip Law: The Real Risk Sits With Super MicroTIKR
  5. 29h agoSuper Micro’s CFO is out after change was slow-walkedCFO Dive
  6. 2d agoSMCI taps former Western Digital CFO as new finance boss; shares tumbleInvesting.com
  7. 2d agoHewlett Packard Enterprise Falls 5% as AI Financing Worries Extend Hardware Selloff; Super Micro Sinks 7%, Dell Drops 3%24/7 Wall St.
  8. 2d agoSuper Micro Names Former Western Digital Executive Mark Long CFOGuruFocus.com
  9. 2d agoIs SMCI Stock A Real Bargain?Trefis
  10. 3d agoSuper Micro, Applied Digital, Benchmark, Planet Labs, and Ingram Micro Shares Are Falling, What You Need To KnowStockStory
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Information and analytics for education only, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Alephix Intelligence is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser or research analyst. Prices may be delayed; figures come from public market data.