Tesla stock analysis
Tesla passes 4 of 8 fundamental tests, a score of 5/10. On the daily chart it is in an downtrend, RSI 42, 29% below its 52-week high: downtrend: no long setup. Its own volatility puts the likely range at $311.39–$404.08 a month from now and $225.87–$557.07 in a year (68% bands). The last two days of news lean bearish (0 positive, 2 negative stories).
Fundamentals 5/10
- Market cap
- $1401.0 B
- P/E · forward
- 328.4 · 163.6
- PEG · P/B
- 3.6 · 16.1
- ROE · net margin
- +5% · +4%
- Revenue · earnings growth
- +26% · -3%
- Debt / equity
- 18%
- Dividend · beta
- 0.0% · 1.9
- Next results
- 21 Oct 2026
- ✕ ROE above 15%
- ✕ Net margin above 10%
- ✓ Revenue growing over 10%
- ✕ Earnings growing
- ✓ Debt/equity under 100%
- ✓ Positive free cash flow
- ✓ Forward P/E under trailing (earnings expected up)
- ✕ PEG under 2
Swing technicals (daily)
- Trend
- down · 50d below 200d
- RSI(14)
- 42
- 20 / 50 / 200-day avg
- $370.33 / $359.46 / $387.99
- 20-day breakout
- above $388.56 · below $345.88
- ATR(14)
- $11.85 (3.3% a day)
- 52-week range
- $297.38 – $498.83
- Return 3m · 6m · 1y
- -4% · -11% · -19%
What the price could do
| In | Likely range (68%) |
|---|---|
| 1 mo | $311.39 – $404.08 (-12% / +14%) |
| 3 mo | $283.06 – $444.53 (-20% / +25%) |
| 6 mo | $257.80 – $488.08 (-27% / +38%) |
| 1 year | $225.87 – $557.07 (-36% / +57%) |
Analysts (38): buy, mean target $397.83 (+12%)
From its own volatility (45% a year), no drift assumed: what its swings allow, not a forecast.
Tesla news · last two days
News lean: Bearish · 0 up · 2 down- 2h agoTesla Just Won in Court: Self-Driving Buyers Can’t Sue as a Class24/7 Wall St.
- 8h agoWhat Tesla’s Flying Roadster Really Means for the Global Auto RaceThe Wall Street Journal
- 8h agoHistory Says Tesla Stock Swings Hard on Earnings. It Has Moved 8% or More After 10 of Its Last 15 Reports.Motley Fool
- 9h agoCathie Wood-Led Ark Invest's Biggest Q3 Winners And Losers — PLTR, NVDA, TXG Led While TSLA, RKLB DraggedStocktwits
- 10h agoBYD or Tesla: Which Is a Better Stock?Motley Fool
- 16h agoTesla’s Flying Roadster Has Wall Street Talking About SpaceX, Not CarsMotley Fool
- 16h agoBattery X Metals Highlights Participation at X Takeover 2026, an Electric Vehicle and Emerging Technology Event Held at Tesla's Gigafactory Texas, Providing Exposure to Industry Perspectives and Technology DevelopmentsACCESS Newswire
- 17h agoStocktwits Zero To Sixty — Tesla’s Roadster Flies With SpaceX Thrusters, Rivian Opens Cars To AI Agents, And Lucid Eyes FranceStocktwits
- 18h agoTesla Has Built a Flying Car. It Will Blow Your Mind.Barrons.com
- 20h agoStock Market Today, Oct. 16: Tesla Slips 2% as Roadster Reveal Fades Before EarningsMotley Fool
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Information and analytics for education only, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Alephix Intelligence is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser or research analyst. Prices may be delayed; figures come from public market data.