IBM stock analysis
IBM passes 4 of 8 fundamental tests, a score of 5/10. On the daily chart it is in a sideways range, RSI 54, 30% below its 52-week high: range-bound: no edge either way. Its own volatility puts the likely range at $200.47–$268.81 a month from now and $139.67–$385.83 in a year (68% bands). The last two days of news lean bullish (1 positive, 1 negative stories).
Fundamentals 5/10
- Market cap
- $218.7 B
- P/E · forward
- 20.6 · 17.7
- PEG · P/B
- 2.2 · 6.3
- ROE · net margin
- +34% · +16%
- Revenue · earnings growth
- +1% · -2%
- Debt / equity
- 189%
- Dividend · beta
- 2.9% · 0.7
- Next results
- 21 Oct 2026
- ✓ ROE above 15%
- ✓ Net margin above 10%
- ✕ Revenue growing over 10%
- ✕ Earnings growing
- ✕ Debt/equity under 100%
- ✓ Positive free cash flow
- ✓ Forward P/E under trailing (earnings expected up)
- ✕ PEG under 2
Swing technicals (daily)
- Trend
- sideways · 50d below 200d
- RSI(14)
- 54
- 20 / 50 / 200-day avg
- $226.33 / $232.03 / $251.69
- 20-day breakout
- above $237.89 · below $217.80
- ATR(14)
- $6.30 (2.7% a day)
- 52-week range
- $199.19 – $332.46
- Return 3m · 6m · 1y
- +9% · -8% · -17%
What the price could do
| In | Likely range (68%) |
|---|---|
| 1 mo | $200.47 – $268.81 (-14% / +16%) |
| 3 mo | $180.06 – $299.28 (-22% / +29%) |
| 6 mo | $162.08 – $332.48 (-30% / +43%) |
| 1 year | $139.67 – $385.83 (-40% / +66%) |
Analysts (23): buy, mean target $242.65 (+5%)
From its own volatility (51% a year), no drift assumed: what its swings allow, not a forecast.
IBM news · last two days
News lean: Bullish · 1 up · 1 down- 44m agoIBM spent $11 billion on growth as its own software stallsTheStreet
- 24h agoIBM Q3 Earnings Preview: What To Expect From Upcoming ReportGuruFocus.com
- 28h agoCan Slightly Higher Consulting Revenues Aid IBM's Q3 Earnings?Zacks
- 28h agoCan Healthy Increase in Software Revenues Benefit IBM's Q3 Earnings?Zacks
- 29h agoIBM Stocks Fall Although Morgan Stanley Raises Target 25%GuruFocus.com
- 29h agoStay Ahead of the Game With IBM (IBM) Q3 Earnings: Wall Street's Insights on Key MetricsZacks
- 37h agoWhat IBM's Siemens Chip Partnership Means For ShareholdersSimply Wall St.
- 46h agoIBM Has Paid Dividends Since 1916. Here’s Why Retirees Should Pay Attention Now24/7 Wall St.
- 2d agoIBM poised for modest third-quarter beat, says Bank of AmericaProactive
- 2d agoSiemens joins IBM research effort to develop nanostack technologyVerdict
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Information and analytics for education only, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Alephix Intelligence is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser or research analyst. Prices may be delayed; figures come from public market data.