Microsoft stock analysis
Microsoft passes 8 of 8 fundamental tests, a score of 10/10. On the daily chart it is in an uptrend, RSI 57, 4% below its 52-week high: uptrend pullback to the 20-day average. Its own volatility puts the likely range at $481.69–$581.07 a month from now and $382.30–$732.13 in a year (68% bands). The last two days of news lean bearish (0 positive, 1 negative stories).
Fundamentals 10/10
- Market cap
- $3928.5 B
- P/E · forward
- 29.5 · 22.3
- PEG · P/B
- 1.7 · 8.9
- ROE · net margin
- +34% · +40%
- Revenue · earnings growth
- +18% · +32%
- Debt / equity
- 29%
- Dividend · beta
- 0.7% · 1.1
- Next results
- 28 Oct 2026
- ✓ ROE above 15%
- ✓ Net margin above 10%
- ✓ Revenue growing over 10%
- ✓ Earnings growing
- ✓ Debt/equity under 100%
- ✓ Positive free cash flow
- ✓ Forward P/E under trailing (earnings expected up)
- ✓ PEG under 2
Swing technicals (daily)
- Trend
- up · 50d above 200d
- RSI(14)
- 57
- 20 / 50 / 200-day avg
- $520.22 / $505.53 / $435.25
- 20-day breakout
- above $551.15 · below $491.10
- ATR(14)
- $12.01 (2.3% a day)
- 52-week range
- $349.20 – $553.72
- Return 3m · 6m · 1y
- +32% · +25% · +3%
What the price could do
| In | Likely range (68%) |
|---|---|
| 1 mo | $481.69 – $581.07 (-9% / +10%) |
| 3 mo | $449.73 – $622.36 (-15% / +18%) |
| 6 mo | $420.46 – $665.68 (-21% / +26%) |
| 1 year | $382.30 – $732.13 (-28% / +38%) |
Analysts (53): strong buy, mean target $599.24 (+13%)
From its own volatility (32% a year), no drift assumed: what its swings allow, not a forecast.
Microsoft news · last two days
News lean: Bearish · 0 up · 1 down- 3h agoUBS resets Microsoft stock price target for investorsTheStreet
- 3h agoHere's How Microsoft's $175 Billion in Capital Expenditures Is Hurting Its BusinessMotley Fool
- 19h agoNot Alphabet. Not Microsoft. This Is the Cloud Stock I'd Buy With $5,000 Right Now.Motley Fool
- 20h agoMicrosoft's UK Regulatory Problem Just Got BiggerGuruFocus.com
- 20h agoMicrosoft Makes a Massive Move to Secure Its AI FutureGuruFocus.com
- 23h agoMicrosoft Stocks Slip Although $600 Target Meets an Unfinished AI ModelGuruFocus.com
- 24h agoThe Next $5 Trillion Dollar Company: Alphabet or Microsoft?24/7 Wall St.
- 25h agoMicrosoft Signs 1,100 MW Power Deal With NiSource Until 2048 as AI Spending Outruns the GridTIKR
- 25h agoMicrosoft (MSFT) Remains a High-Quality AI LeaderInsider Monkey
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Information and analytics for education only, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Alephix Intelligence is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser or research analyst. Prices may be delayed; figures come from public market data.